GLOBAL trade and investment dwarf national economic flows and
thus diminish the scope for individual and national policies. When
that is the case, runs the argument, why not get together and
institutionalise the cooperation - form a group of nations strong
enough to safeguard the interests of each nation state, enhance
their capabilities to shape national policies and even put an
imprint on global developments?
The Europeans have in selected areas pooled their sovereignty.
Contrary to expectations, this has not reduced but enhanced the
power of individual nation states to pursue national objectives.
They have become better able to control the impact of economic
globalisation and, to a certain extent, better able to shape its
processes instead of being its passive subjects.
Wealth and prosperity rarely flow from national economies. They
depend on how the nation states turn global economic developments to
their advantage.
Two recent developments give credence to this line of thinking -
the uncertainty about the future of world trade after the
unsuccessful Doha round of talks and the discussion about an
appreciation of Asian currencies, in particular the Chinese yuan
compared to the US dollar.
Small nation states heavily dependent on international trade and
investment are, more than bigger nations, subject to the vagaries of
trade and currency fluctuations. The future of Asean will depend on
its ability to define a role inside a larger and more powerful East
Asian or Asian economic body.
This is not impossible. Asia's trade figures suggest that Asia
could become a self-sustaining economy. South-east Asian countries
can carve out a platform for themselves in this economic powerhouse
built around China and India.
Secondly, it may be worthwhile to build an Asean identity, not in
conflict or competition with the national identities of member
states, but as a value-added factor. In Europe, many Europeans refer
to both their nationality and their European identity when asked how
they identify themselves; some even include the region they come
from, such as Scotland, Bavaria or Catalonia.
For Asean, perhaps the time has come to sketch some guidelines,
some ideals and some ambitions for member states.
Closing loopholes
A DEGREE of common understanding of what is good and what is bad
behaviour would come in handy. A nation state should behave like a
good citizen vis-à-vis its partners and vis-à-vis its own citizens.
But some common ground must be established.
The notion of solidarity goes hand in hand with the idea of a
common identity and common destiny. It strengthens the bonds between
not only the member states but, and even more importantly, between
the populations in the member states. Solidarity must be shown in
helping and assisting other member states when hit by economic
problems or natural disasters.
The goal of an Asean economic community by 2015 is an ambitious
one but ambitions are indispensable for moving ahead. Without a
timetable or a road map sketching when to do what, there will be too
many loopholes left open. Asean needs, in one way or another, to pin
member states down not only on the goals, but also on how to get
there.
Asean should scrutinise its competitive parameters to see how
they compare against China's and India's, and strengthen those where
it is already in front.
As production moves towards higher value- added goods and
services, the safeguarding of intellectual property rights - just to
mention one example - will tend to determine who wins. Asean could
and should capitalise on governance, legal systems and the
qualitative environment as competitive parameters.
The time may not be ripe yet for coordinated economic policies,
but the time is ripe for deeper consultations and information
sharing about national economic policies.
There is talk of exchange rate cooperation in East Asia but no
one knows how far and how fast it will go, and/or how successful
whatever is put in motion may be. Steps to move national economic
policies towards convergence instead of divergence are necessary
first steps in preparing the ground for possible currency rate
cooperation.
Like it or not, individual nation states are confronted with a
whole range of global issues, such as trade policy, global warming
and energy. It is fair enough if Asean member states do not adopt
the same stand on all these issues, but steps to find a common
position could be initiated. That will increase awareness of how
Asean could influence global negotiations. It will also enhance the
sense of identity, common destiny and solidarity.
International terrorism, international crime and infectious
diseases constitute a sinister triangle threatening globalisation.
Asean is in a position to contribute to the global debate on how to
combat these evils.
Reaching out to the public
DESPITE integration being at a far more advanced stage, the
European Union (EU) has found it difficult to rally continued
support from the public. This underlines the necessity of reaching
out to the public to explain why integration is a good thing and
what advantages it offers for the majority of people. People want to
know how it actually improves their daily lives.
Within Europe, passports indicate both the holder's nationality
and his or her membership of the EU. The same may be considered for
Asean. It will be tangible evidence of an Asean identity.
In schools, the curriculum could be used to develop an Asean
identity. In the long run, children will be decisive in forging that
identity. In Europe, it was the so-called 'Inter-Rail generation'
travelling around Europe on cheap railway tickets that led to more
awareness of other EU member states.
The whole panoply of measures in the EU to facilitate study in
other member states falls in the same category. Indeed, the French
and the Germans are working on a common history book and have
recently set up a common Franco-German university.
Asean cannot be compared to the EU or even to any particular
stage in the process of European integration, but in one respect a
parallel may be drawn. If nothing happens and the integration gets
trapped in a stalemate without producing results and/or progress,
support among politicians, business people and the general public
will start to wane. It is often said of European integration that it
can be compared to a bike: It must move ahead all the time in order
not to lose balance.
In the globalised world it is cold to be alone, but cosy to be
among adjacent and like-minded countries.
The writer is a Visiting Senior Research Fellow at the
Institute of Southeast Asian Studies. This is a personal comment.
MORE POWER
The Europeans have in selected areas pooled their sovereignty.
Contrary to expectations, this has not reduced but enhanced the
power of individual nation states to pursue national objectives.